четверг, 5 сентября 2013 г.

A value of one is assigned to an average game situation. Higher-leverage scenarios have values of mo


Smyly has been the team's most effective reliever, but has he been used in situations which help the team win? Table 3 lists the average Game Leverage Index (GmLI) of the Tigers relievers when they enter a game. Leverage Index, a concept developed by Tom Tango, measures mystery tour ffxi how critical a given plate appearance is in determining the final result of the game by looking at the difference in win probability between mystery tour ffxi the best and worst case scenarios.
For example, suppose Smyly enters a game in which the Tigers have a nine-run lead with nobody on base in the ninth inning. In that situation, there is little difference between giving up a home run and getting the batter out on the probability of winning the game. This is an example of a low-leverage situation. mystery tour ffxi However, if Smyly comes into a game with two on and nobody out and a one-run lead in the ninth inning, then allowing a home run will be much more damaging than getting the batter out. This is a high-leverage situation.
A value of one is assigned to an average mystery tour ffxi game situation. Higher-leverage scenarios have values of more than one and lower-leverage scenarios have values less than one. These values are averaged together to get a pitcher's mystery tour ffxi index for the season. Coke has a GmLI of 2 which means that, on average, he has entered games in situations with twice the impact of an average at bat. Smyly, on the other hand, has been used in only average situations (1.0 GmLI). This is low for a reliever, especially a good one, as they are typically used at important moments mystery tour ffxi in games.
This is fuel for the fire for those who think manager Jim Leyland is not using Smyly optimally. Smyly is saving the team runs, but it's not usually happening at the most crucial points of games. There is probably more to the story as I suspect it is an organizational decision to stretch out Smyly as a long reliever, so he can be ready to start if necessary. One can certainly question though whether he would have more value to the team as a back-end mystery tour ffxi reliever than as a starter in waiting.
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I don t know about anybody else, but I find this particular analysis a little bit terrifying. mystery tour ffxi Put a gun to my head and I won t flinch, but don t scare me with baseball stats, say it ain t so Jim, say it ain t so! Reply Delete Anonymous June 05, 2013
Hi Lee: RE24 is contextual so it takes into account the Leverage Index (or something like it) that a reliever appears in, correct? mystery tour ffxi So Drew Smyly has a high RE24 *despite* not pitching on average in high leveraged situations? The stats seem to be pulling in different directions. Cheers, Kevin. Reply Delete Lee Panas June 05, 2013

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